Bitcoin (BTC) bounced back from the recent drop on Sunday to rebound above $22,000. Yesterday, bitcoin suddenly made another big jump and shot above $24,000 again. However, it is still unable to break $24,500. The BTC price stands at $24,115 on Binance and $22,545 on Bitvavo at the time of writing.
This means that the bitcoin price is 9.1% up today. Trading volume increased by 29% in the last 24 hours. The total market capitalization is $469 billion and the dominance is 43.8%. The Fear & Greed Index comes out at 56 (Greed).
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 56 – Greed
Current price: $24,182 pic.twitter.com/U2xeSoK6Hr— Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index (@BitcoinFear) March 14, 2023
Is bitcoin rising due to banking crisis?
Initially, bitcoin was dragged along last week by the problems at Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. In the meantime, bitcoin seems to be disconnecting itself from the more traditional markets and serving as a safe haven again.
SVB was the banker for nearly half of all VC-backed startups in the US. They had more than $200B in assets and $175B in deposits.
Here is the full story of how one of America’s 20 largest commercial banks went down in 48 hours:https://t.co/vmbOafVWFB
— Market Sentiment (@mkt_sentiment) March 12, 2023
However, the problems may not be over yet. Silicon Valley Bank is the largest borrower in the US to fail in 10 years. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has since acquired both banks. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is under investigation over the fall of Silicon Valley Bank.
@federalreserve announces that Vice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr is leading a review of the supervision and regulation of Silicon Valley Bank, in light of its failure. The review will be publicly released by May 1: https://t.co/wQ39KLiwHE
— Federal Reserve (@federalreserve) March 13, 2023
Bitcoin short squeeze
The problems at the banks seem to be sending investors to bitcoin for the time being. The market was decent bearish just a few days ago and the increase led to a short squeeze again.
Analyst On-Chain College reports that $30 million in short positions were liquidated in 30 minutes. In the last 24 hours, $180 million in short positions have been liquidated.
$30 million in #Bitcoin Short Liquidations in 30 minutes pic.twitter.com/cSGOGCWC5F
— On-Chain College (@OnChainCollege) March 13, 2023
More volatility? CPI today
However, this volatile period may not be over yet. The American consumer price index (CPI) will be published this afternoon. These inflation figures could cause violent price fluctuations last year, but it is possible that the banking crisis will dampen the effect this time.
Ahead of US CPI tomorrow, here are the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast projections for February 2023. pic.twitter.com/Of8axpaO4O
— Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) March 13, 2023
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting follows next week. A few days ago, most markets were still expecting a 0.5% increase after the hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Due to the banking crisis, these expectations have been completely reversed and most expect only a 0.25% increase or even a pause.
CME FedWatch Tool now sees the following:
• 43.2% chance of pause
• 56.8% chance of +0.25% rate hikeThis time last week, there was more than a 50% chance that the Fed would hike by +50bps… This is wild. Can’t keep up. pic.twitter.com/8gWUpsiwBX
— Caleb Franzen (@CalebFranzen) March 13, 2023
Bitcoin sentiment is starting to turn more positive
It may be too early to celebrate, but it is noticeable that sentiment has already become a lot more positive. Whether bitcoin has enough momentum in this bear market to break the $25,000 and 200-week moving average now remains to be seen. That would definitely boost sentiment.
Banks are failing, and a record high 67.7% of all BTC has not moved on over 1 year.
The stage is set for a parabolic bull run unlike any other.
Hyperbitcoinization is here. pic.twitter.com/DkCseaVzyS
— Joe Burnett (🔑)³ (@IIICapital) March 13, 2023
Our analysts use Bybit
The crypto market is volatile and constantly changing. Often after every increase, a decrease follows. Our analysts therefore use Bybit to also benefit from falling prices. By using Bybit you have the option to trade in derivatives and place so-called short orders when you expect a price to fall. Very handy! You can easily create an account via this link and Bybit registers that you are from Crypto Insiders. With this you support our platform and you are eligible for great prizes and offers.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risks. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts’ own insights and experiences.